Highlights
- •What is the primary question addressed by this study?We explored the association between long-term trajectories of late-life loneliness and incident dementia.
- •What is the main finding of this study?Five distinct loneliness trajectories were found: long-term low, persistently decreasing, persistently increasing, long-term moderate, and long-term high. Compared with long-term low loneliness, persistently increasing, long-term moderate, and long-term high loneliness significantly increases the risk of dementia in older adults.
- •What is the meaning of the finding?To prevent dementia, we should pay attention to the elderly with long-term loneliness and persistently increasing loneliness, especially the elderly with long-term high loneliness.
ABSTRACT
Objective
Some older adults with loneliness might have transient loneliness, followed by full
remission, while others might have persistent loneliness. Such different courses might
differ in predicting the risk of dementia, but most previous studies assessed short-term
loneliness at a single time point, ignoring the long-term changes of loneliness. This
study aimed to explore the association between 8-year trajectories of late-life loneliness
and incident dementia.
Methods
Data were from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (waves 2−9). This study included
6,722 older adults measured for loneliness greater than or equal to three times from
wave 2 (2004−2005) to wave 6 (2012−2013) and free from dementia in wave 6. Loneliness
was assessed using the short 1980 version of the University of California, Los Angeles
Loneliness Scale. Group-based trajectory modeling was used to explore loneliness trajectories
during waves 2−6. Cox proportional hazard models were used to investigate the association
of loneliness trajectories with incident dementia during waves 6−9.
Results
Five distinct loneliness trajectories were identified: long-term low, persistently
decreasing, persistently increasing, long-term moderate, and long-term high. Compared
with long-term low loneliness, the HRs (95% confidence intervals) for persistently
decreasing, persistently increasing, long-term moderate, and long-term high loneliness
were 1.29 (0.83−2.00), 1.55 (1.04−2.31), 1.56 (1.03−2.38), and 3.35 (1.89−5.91), respectively.
Conclusion
The elderly show distinct patterns of loneliness over time, which cannot be captured
by a single assessment of loneliness. The elderly with long-term loneliness and persistently
increasing loneliness might be the high-risk group for dementia. Further studies are
needed to determine whether reducing loneliness can prevent dementia.
Key Words
Abbreviations:
CES-D (Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale), CI (Confidence interval), ELSA (English Longitudinal Study of Ageing), GBTM (Group-based trajectory modeling), HR (Hazard ratio), IQCODE (Informant Questionnaire on Cognitive Decline in the Elderly), R-UCLA (Short 1980 version of the University of California, Los Angeles Loneliness Scale)To read this article in full you will need to make a payment
Purchase one-time access:
Academic & Personal: 24 hour online accessCorporate R&D Professionals: 24 hour online accessOne-time access price info
- For academic or personal research use, select 'Academic and Personal'
- For corporate R&D use, select 'Corporate R&D Professionals'
Subscribe:
Subscribe to The American Journal of Geriatric PsychiatryAlready a print subscriber? Claim online access
Already an online subscriber? Sign in
Register: Create an account
Institutional Access: Sign in to ScienceDirect
References
- Handgrip strength and all-cause dementia incidence and mortality: findings from the UK Biobank prospective cohort study.J Cachexia Sarcopenia Muscle. 2022; 13: 1514-1525
- Estimation of the global prevalence of dementia in 2019 and forecasted prevalence in 2050: an analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.Lancet Public Health. 2022; 7: e105-e125
- World Alzheimer Report 2018.Alzheimer's Disease International, London, UK2018
Office for National Statistics. Deaths registered in England and Wales: 2018. 2019. Available at:https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/deaths-registered-in-england-and-wales-2018. Accessed June 6, 2022.
- The prevalence of loneliness among adults: a case study of the United Kingdom.J Psychol. 2012; 146: 85-104
- Loneliness before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: a systematic review with meta-analysis.Am Psychol. 2022; 77: 660-677
- Loneliness: a source-book of current theory, research and therapy.Contemp Sociol. 1984; 13: 203
- Associations of loneliness and social isolation with actigraph and self-reported sleep quality in a national sample of older adults.Sleep. 2021; 44: zsaa140
- The association between loneliness and depressive symptoms among adults aged 50 years and older: a 12-year population-based cohort study.Lancet Psychiatry. 2021; 8: 48-57
- Evaluation of social isolation, loneliness, and cardiovascular disease among older women in the US.JAMA Netw Open. 2022; 5e2146461
- Association of loneliness with 10-year dementia risk and early markers of vulnerability for neurocognitive decline.Neurology. 2022; 98: e1337-e1348
- Loneliness, not social support, is associated with cognitive decline and dementia across two longitudinal population-based cohorts.J Alzheimers Dis. 2022; 85: 295-308
- Emotional loneliness is associated with a risk of dementia in a general Japanese older population: the Hisayama study.J Gerontol B Psychol Sci Soc Sci. 2021; 76: 1756-1766
- Associations of loneliness with risk of Alzheimer's disease dementia in the Framingham Heart Study.Alzheimers Dement. 2021; 17: 1619-1627
- The stability and change of loneliness across the life span: a meta-analysis of longitudinal studies.Pers Soc Psychol Rev. 2020; 24: 24-52
- Why loneliness interventions are unsuccessful: a call for precision health.Call Precis Health. 2020; 4e200016
- Cohort profile: the English longitudinal study of ageing.Int J Epidemiol. 2013; 42: 1640-1648
- Adverse childhood experiences and depressive symptoms in later life: longitudinal mediation effects of inflammation.Brain Behav Immun. 2020; 90: 97-107
- A short scale for measuring loneliness in large surveys: results from two population-based studies.Res Aging. 2004; 26: 655-672
- Loneliness and type 2 diabetes incidence: findings from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing.Diabetologia. 2020; 63: 2329-2338
- Ageing accounts for much of the association between decreasing grip strength and subsequent loneliness: the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing.J Epidemiol Community Health. 2022; (online ahead of print)
- The association between loneliness, social isolation and all-cause mortality in a nationally representative sample of older women and men.Aging Ment Health. 2022; 26: 1821-1828
- The role of cognitive and social leisure activities in dementia risk: assessing longitudinal associations of modifiable and non-modifiable risk factors.Epidemiol Psychiatr Sci. 2022; 31: e5
- Markers of cognitive reserve and dementia incidence in the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing.Br J Psychiatry. 2021; 218: 243-251
- Individual and area-based socioeconomic factors associated with dementia incidence in England: evidence from a 12-year follow-up in the English longitudinal study of ageing.JAMA Psychiatry. 2018; 75: 723-732
- A short form of the Informant Questionnaire on Cognitive Decline in the Elderly (IQCODE): development and cross-validation.Psychol Med. 1994; 24: 145-153
- Informant Questionnaire on Cognitive Decline in the Elderly (IQCODE) for the detection of dementia within community dwelling populations.Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2021; 7 (Cd010079)
- Physical multimorbidity, depressive symptoms, and social participation in adults over 50 years of age: findings from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing.Aging Ment Health. 2022; (online ahead of print): 1-11
- Mental health and social interactions of older people with physical disabilities in England during the COVID-19 pandemic: a longitudinal cohort study.Lancet Public Health. 2021; 6: e365-e373
- The long-term association of adverse childhood experiences with C-reactive protein and hair cortisol: cumulative risk versus dimensions of adversity.Brain Behav Immun. 2020; 87: 318-328
- Group-based trajectory modeling: an overview.Ann Nutr Metab. 2014; 65: 205-210
- Association of social isolation, loneliness and genetic risk with incidence of dementia: UK Biobank Cohort Study.BMJ Open. 2022; 12e053936
- Social isolation, social support, and loneliness and their relationship with cognitive health and dementia.Int J Geriatr Psychiatry. 2021; 37 (online ahead of print)https://doi.org/10.1002/gps.5644
- Loneliness and health in older adults: a mini-review and synthesis.Gerontology. 2016; 62: 443-449
- Loneliness, social integration, and incident dementia over 6 years: prospective findings from the english longitudinal study of ageing.J Gerontol B Psychol Sci Soc Sci. 2020; 75: 114-124
- Loneliness increases the risk of all-cause dementia and Alzheimer's disease.J Gerontol B Psychol Sci Soc Sci. 2020; 75: 919-926
- Physiology and neurobiology of stress and adaptation: central role of the brain.Physiol Rev. 2007; 87: 873-904
- Role of inflammation in cognitive impairment: results of observational epidemiological studies and clinical trials.Ann N Y Acad Sci. 2010; 1207: 155-162
- Loneliness and risk of Alzheimer disease.Arch Gen Psychiatry. 2007; 64: 234-240
Article info
Publication history
Published online: December 05, 2022
Accepted:
December 1,
2022
Received in revised form:
November 15,
2022
Received:
October 3,
2022
Publication stage
In Press Journal Pre-ProofIdentification
Copyright
© 2022 American Association for Geriatric Psychiatry. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.